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Free Cash Flow (FCF)

Free cash flow is the cash a company generates after paying for capital expenditures. It's the money available for dividends, debt repayment, and growth investments.

Formula

FCF = Operating Cash Flow - Capital Expenditures (CapEx)

Example

A company generates $500M in operating cash flow and spends $200M on CapEx. FCF = $300M. This $300M is 'free' to distribute or reinvest.

How to Interpret It

Positive and growing FCF is a strong signal. It means the company can fund its own growth. Compare FCF yield (FCF/Market Cap) to bond yields โ€” if higher, the stock may be undervalued.

Real-World Example: FCF as a Value Signal

In 2024, Apple generated approximately $110 billion in operating cash flow and spent about $10 billion on CapEx, yielding ~$100 billion in free cash flow. With a market cap of ~$3.4 trillion, that's an FCF yield of ~2.9% โ€” not exciting until you consider Apple also buys back $90B+ in stock annually, effectively returning nearly all FCF to shareholders.

Contrast with Amazon, which generated ~$85B in operating cash flow but spent ~$50B on CapEx (data centers, warehouses), leaving ~$35B in FCF. Amazon's lower FCF isn't bad โ€” it reflects aggressive reinvestment. This is why you must understand where FCF goes, not just the number.

FCF Comparison: Big Tech

CompanyFCF (2024 est.)FCF YieldWhat They Do With It
Apple (AAPL)$100B2.9%Buybacks + dividends
Alphabet (GOOG)$70B3.5%Buybacks + cash pile
Amazon (AMZN)$35B1.7%Reinvested in growth
Meta (META)$50B4.8%Buybacks + AI investment

Common Mistakes

๐Ÿ’ก Pro Tip: The "FCF Yield vs. 10-Year Treasury" comparison is one of the best valuation screens. When Meta's FCF yield hit 7% in late 2022 versus a 3.8% Treasury yield, the market was essentially saying Meta's cash flows were riskier than government bonds โ€” clearly wrong for a $35B cash flow machine. That was a generational buy signal.

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Frequently Asked Questions

Can FCF be negative?

Yes, especially for growth companies investing heavily. Amazon had negative FCF for years while building infrastructure. Negative FCF isn't always bad โ€” check if it's funding growth (good) or covering operating losses (bad). Mature companies should consistently generate positive FCF.

What's a good FCF yield?

FCF yield = FCF per share รท share price. A yield above 5% is attractive for mature companies; above 8% suggests potential undervaluation. Compare FCF yield to the 10-year Treasury yield โ€” if FCF yield is lower, the stock may not compensate enough for the risk.

Why is FCF better than net income?

Net income includes non-cash items (depreciation, stock-based compensation) and can be manipulated through accounting choices. FCF strips all that out โ€” it's actual cash the company generated. Warren Buffett famously focuses on "owner earnings" (essentially FCF) rather than reported earnings.

Related Terms

Payout Ratio EPS